Brighton x Aston Villa Betting tips for April 2 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brighton x Aston Villa, Wednesday, 2/4/2025

📅 2/4/2025 18:45

Brighton 2.10

X 3.80

Aston Villa 3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brighton x Aston Villa:

🔮 Brighton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brighton, you can win up to $1050.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Brighton x Aston Villa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $450.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $360.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Aston Villa is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Brighton x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 2 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brighton and Aston Villa.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1294623 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brighton x Aston Villa

Is it worth betting on Brighton?

🔵 Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $704.00;
• And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$344.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $420.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Aston Villa?

🔴 Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Aston Villa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Aston Villa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Brighton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Brighton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Aston Villa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.