Universidad de Chile x Botafogo Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo, Thursday, 3/4/2025

📅 3/4/2025 00:30

Universidad de Chile 2.73

X 3.28

Botafogo 2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo:

🔮 Universidad de Chile wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad de Chile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-82.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Universidad de Chile did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 Botafogo did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Universidad de Chile scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Botafogo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Universidad de Chile is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Universidad de Chile x Botafogo for the Copa Libertadores – 3 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1294791 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo

Is betting on Universidad de Chile worth it?

🔵 Universidad de Chile: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $882.30;
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$392.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $364.80;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$475.20.

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔴 Botafogo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad de Chile x Botafogo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universidad de Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Universidad de Chile and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Universidad de Chile.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Universidad de Chile.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad de Chile x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.