Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso Betting tips for April 6 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 13:00

Cerro 2.35

X 2.93

Club Atletico Progreso 3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cerro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Club Atletico Progreso scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Club Atletico Progreso, Cerro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Club Atletico Progreso matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cerro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Club Atletico Progreso conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Club Atletico Progreso has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso for the Uruguay Apertura – 6 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cerro and Club Atletico Progreso.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1296560 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso

Is it a good idea to bet on Cerro?

🔵 Cerro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $526.50;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$83.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $656.20;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$3.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Atletico Progreso?

🔴 Club Atletico Progreso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cerro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cerro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cerro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Club Atletico Progreso.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Club Atletico Progreso

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.