Leicester x Newcastle Betting tips for April 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Leicester x Newcastle, Monday, 7/4/2025

📅 7/4/2025 19:00

Leicester 5.50

X 4.33

Newcastle 1.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Leicester x Newcastle:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $765.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Leicester x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $333.0. 👉 Leicester did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Leicester x Newcastle, with Leicester as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Leicester conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Leicester as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Leicester x Newcastle?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Leicester x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 7 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leicester x Newcastle right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1297124 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leicester x Newcastle

Is betting on Leicester worth it?

🔵 Leicester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $495.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$395.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $466.20;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$393.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $397.50
• And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$147.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leicester x Newcastle

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Leicester
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leicester x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Leicester, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Leicester.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Leicester.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leicester x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.