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Home » Predictions » Champions League » PSG x Aston Villa Betting tips for April 9 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 09 April 2025, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Aston Villa Betting tips for April 9 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for PSG x Aston Villa, Wednesday, 9/4/2025
📅 9/4/2025
19:00
PSG PSG
1.45
X
4.61
Aston Villa Aston Villa
6.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PSG x Aston Villa:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for PSG x Aston Villa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $14.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $680.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Aston Villa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 Aston Villa is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Aston Villa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on PSG x Aston Villa:

Analysis from PSG x Aston Villa for the UEFA Champions League – 9 of April

🏟️ PSG X Aston Villa – UEFA Champions League
📅 9 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 80.99% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.72% | Fair line: 10.29
🔴 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 9.29% | Fair line: 10.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on PSG x Aston Villa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1300004 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Aston Villa

Is it worth betting on PSG?

🔵 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $364.50;
  • And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$174.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $361.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$539.00.

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔴 Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $514.80
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Aston Villa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Aston Villa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 PSG.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Aston Villa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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