Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle Betting tips for December 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle, Saturday, 6/12/2025

📅 6/12/2025 20:00

Feyenoord 1.18

X 7.50

PEC Zwolle 12.68

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle:

🔮 Feyenoord wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Feyenoord in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Feyenoord scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against PEC Zwolle, Feyenoord scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Feyenoord matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 PEC Zwolle matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle, with Feyenoord as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Feyenoord conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, PEC Zwolle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Feyenoord has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against PEC Zwolle.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Feyenoord vs PEC Zwolle?

Lets analyze the match between Feyenoord and PEC Zwolle at Stadion Feijenoord, home of Feyenoord, which is one of the largest and most traditional stadiums in the Netherlands, known as “De Kuip”. This naturally gives Feyenoord an advantage playing in their usual environment with strong fan support.

📈 Table and performance analysis: Feyenoord has recently had a tough streak with 3 losses in 5 home league games, averaging 2 goals per game but also conceding 2. PEC Zwolle has a more modest away performance, with a similar average of 2 goals scored but conceding 3. The visiting team struggles to escape the relegation zone and needs points to avoid dropping further. This indicates Zwolle will be highly motivated but faces a technically superior opponent playing at home.

📰 Recent news: Feyenoord broke a negative streak by winning away against Telstar recently, showing signs of recovery despite criticism of coach Robin van Persie. PEC Zwolle is on a high after an important win against Heerenveen that temporarily lifted them from the danger zone. The young forward Shoretire could be a key offensive player for them.

Fair odds calculation:

• From median odds:
  home_odds_median = 1/1.18 ≈ 0.847
  draw_odds_median = 1/7.5 ≈ 0.133
  away_odds_median = 1/12.25 ≈ 0.082
• Sum: 0.847 + 0.133 + 0.082 = 1.062
• Normalizing:
  home_pred_gpt = 0.847 /1.062 ≈ 79.7%
  draw_pred_gpt = 12.5%
  away_pred_gpt = 7.7%

GPT fair odds calculation:

• home_pred_odds_gpt ≈ 1 / 0.797 ≈ 1.25
• draw_pred_odds_gpt ≈ 8
• away_pred_odds_gpt ≈ 13

These fair odds indicate a clear favoritism for Feyenoord but not as exaggerated as the odds offered by bookmakers (which are lower for the home team). This suggests bookmakers are confident in the home teams victory due to their offensive strength and home advantage.

Expected value (EV) analysis:

• Given home_end_odds=1.166; draw_end_odds=7.5; away_end_odds=13;
• EV calculation:
  home_ev_gpt = ((1.166 / 1.25) – 1) * 100 ≈ -6% (negative)
  draw_ev_gpt = ((7.5 / 8) – 1) * 100 ≈ -6% (negative)
  away_ev_gpt = ((13 / 13) – 1) * 100 = 0%

No bets show a positive expected value above +5%, indicating no clear value bets based on this strict analysis of current odds.

Analysis of the Bets Kenya model prediction:
The model predicts extremely high probabilities for the home team (~99%) and almost zero for draw or away — this results in very high expected values only on the home bet (+15%), indicating strong confidence in this win.
However, this prediction seems exaggerated given recent statistical data where Feyenoord has conceded many goals even at home and is not in an absolute dominant phase.
Additionally, PEC Zwolles high motivation could make a difference in such a tough game.
Therefore, I disagree with this overly extreme prediction from the Bets Kenya model — I see a realistic chance for Feyenoord to win but not with a probability close to absolute certainty.

Final suggestion: Betting on Feyenoords victory is reasonable due to their superior technical quality combined with strong home advantage at De Kuip 🏟️ but with low expectations given the current odds, which are very low reflecting this.
I would avoid betting on the draw or away win due to their low offensive potential outside home even if they need points.
If you want to seek higher value, perhaps waiting for odds changes or exploring alternative markets is a better strategy.

Good luck! 🍀⚽️ #Feyenoord #PECZwolle #Eredivisie #SportsBetting

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Analysis from Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 6 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Feyenoord and PEC Zwolle.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449132 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle

Feyenoord: Feyenoord recently ended a four-match losing streak by defeating Telstar 2-1 away, with defender Anel Ahmedhodzic standing out in defense and teammate Gijs Smal earning a spot in the Eredivisie Team of the Week, while coach Robin van Persie gave his son Shaqueel his Eredivisie debut as a substitute in the same victory — a decision he defended despite criticism; despite the win, the club remains under pressure after a 3-1 Europa League defeat to Celtic, which exposed lack of confidence and poor ball possession.

PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle is struggling to climb out of the bottom of the Eredivisie 2025-26 table, sitting 14th, and after a crucial 2-1 home win against Heerenveen, which moved them four points clear of relegation zone, they will face Heerenveen again on November 28, 2025, at Mac³Park Stadion before traveling to face AZ Alkmaar on December 3, 2025, a match that ended in a 3-1 defeat for Zwolle; the teams recent form was also highlighted by the emergence of loaned striker Shoretire, who scored his first league goal for the club in the victory over Heerenveen and became a regular starter on the right wing, while the clubs U-21 team continued their positive streak with a 5-2 win over FC Twente Heracles U21 and has an upcoming match against De Graafschap U21 on December 6, 2025.

Netherlands Eredivisie table analysis for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle

Feyenoord: Feyenoord is in 2nd place with 31 points, directly competing for the league lead, which is currently held by PSV with 37 points. This match is important for Feyenoord to try to close the gap in the standings and keep the pressure for the title. Every point will be valuable in this fierce battle at the top of the Eredivisie. Therefore, the game against PEC Zwolle is quite relevant for Feyenoord.

PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle is in 14th place with 16 points, far from the international competition qualification zone and also somewhat comfortable regarding relegation (17th and 18th places have 12 and 10 points, respectively). Considering the current round and the position in the table, this match probably wont mean much for PEC Zwolle in terms of classification or relegation, making the game less decisive for the team, which may be focusing more on maintaining its position and balancing for the rest of the championship.

Summary: The match is important for Feyenoord, which seeks to keep alive the hope for the title or at least pressure the leader, but it is less decisive for PEC Zwolle, which is not in immediate danger nor fighting for a spot in international competitions.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle

Is it worth betting on Feyenoord?

🔵 Feyenoord: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – profiting $178.20;
• And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$168.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $65.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$925.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on PEC Zwolle?

🔴 PEC Zwolle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 12.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Feyenoord
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Feyenoord and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Feyenoord.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Feyenoord x PEC Zwolle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.