PSG x Rennes Betting tips for December 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Rennes, Saturday, 6/12/2025

📅 6/12/2025 20:05

PSG 1.28

X 5.90

Rennes 8.59

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Rennes:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $640.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for PSG x Rennes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Rennes, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 PSG matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 7 home matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Rennes has not lost any of them.
👉 PSG has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Rennes playing at home.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for PSG vs Rennes:

Lets analyze the match between Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Stade Rennais at Parc des Princes, PSGs iconic stadium, which certainly gives the home team a significant advantage. 🏟️

📈 PSG shows impressive home stats: an average of 2.6 goals scored per game in the last 5 home matches and a dominant ball possession of 70%. Additionally, they have a very active attack with an average of 23 shots per game, 8 of which are on target. In contrast, Rennes has a more modest away performance with an average of only 1.6 goals scored and balanced possession (51%). PSGs defense is also solid despite recent injury issues.

📰 News indicates PSG is recovering key players like Dembélé and Marquinhos after injuries, which should strengthen their squad for this match. Despite the recent loss to Monaco being considered the worst of the season by coach Luis Enrique, it serves as a warning to reinforce the defense against Rennes. Rennes is trying to stabilize in the league under coach Bruno Génésio and has no major absences reported.

Analyzing the median odds provided (1.28 PSG win; 5.9 draw; 8.54 Rennes win), we calculate the normalized implied probabilities: approximately 74% for PSG victory, about 16% for a draw, and about 10% for an away win.

Based on PSGs superior offensive stats at home, combined with key player recovery and solid defensive history despite recent flaws, we estimate an even higher fair probability for their win (~78%), a draw around ~15%, and a lower chance (~7%) for the visitors victory.

Adjusting the fair odds considering these unique factors — such as the return of key injured players in PSGs attack/defense — we suggest fair odds close to:

• PSG Win: ~1.28
• Draw: ~6.7
• Rennes Win: ~14

Comparing the expected values of the final odds versus our adjusted fair odds, we find a positive EV only on betting for PSG victory (>5%), confirming this as the best value bet.

The original prediction from Bets Kenya indicates extremely low odds (1.08) for the home win and high odds for others (almost @17 for draw; @53 for away), clearly underestimating the real chances for both the draw and the visitors surprise — unlikely given current data.

Final suggestion:

• Bet on PSG victory as it has a significant positive expected value given their offensive strength at home and key players return;
• Be cautious with bets on the draw or away win as they show low expected value based on our detailed analysis;
• Stay alert to final lineups close to the match due to pending injuries in the Parisian squad.

Overall, I fully agree with the main tip from Bets Kenya to bet on PSG at their legendary stadium! ⚽🔥💰

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Rennes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Rennes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from PSG x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x Rennes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449456 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on PSG x Rennes

Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain has been dealing with a mix of injury setbacks and on-field successes this month, with Ousmane Dembélé and captain Marquinhos now back after weeks away, and Dembélé marked his return by scoring a goal in the 7-2 Champions League thrashing against Bayer Leverkusen. Meanwhile, French teammate Bradley Barcola was sidelined due to a calf injury, sparking an increasing dispute between PSG and the French Football Federation over whether the injury occurred during the recent Champions League match. Other PSG players are also out, such as Desire Doué, who also suffers from a calf injury, and several midfielders like Fabri Ruiz and João Neves, who remain unavailable. Despite optimism about European victory, the club suffered a 1-0 defeat to AS Monaco, a game Luis Enrique called “the worst of the season,” prompting the coach to warn that the team must strengthen defensively before upcoming Ligue 1 matches and the Champions League clash against Tottenham.

Stade Rennais: Stade Rennais is preparing for a high-level Ligue 1 clash against Paris Saint-Germain, with information on how to watch the game widely circulated, while in the Coupe de France they are scheduled to face lower division team Les Sables on December 20, 2025. Recent squad news includes midfielder Elias Legendre, who has yet to debut in the league this season, and the club remains under Bruno Génésio’s management, seeking to improve their league position after a mixed start to the 2025-26 campaign.

Table analysis for the match between PSG and Rennes

PSG: PSG is in 2nd place with 30 points, just 1 point behind the leader Lens. This match is important for PSG to keep pressure on the league leader and try to take the top spot. Also, securing a win against Rennes, who is right behind in the table, is crucial to stay in the direct fight for the title and a direct spot in the Champions League. Therefore, this game is decisive for PSG to stay strong in the competition. ⚽🔥

Rennes: Rennes is in 5th place with 24 points, seeking a spot in European competitions (currently qualified for the UEFA Europa League). The match against PSG is critical to prevent the gap from widening and even climb a few positions, as the difference to PSG is 6 points. A good result can secure an international spot, so the game is very important for Rennes as well. 💪🌟

Summary: This match is important for both teams, as PSG fights to take the lead and Rennes wants to keep the chance to compete in European competitions. It’s a confrontation full of tension and direct battle on the table! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Rennes

Should you bet on PSG?

🔵 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $260.40;
• And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $245.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$705.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rennes?

🔴 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $151.80;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$828.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Rennes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Rennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 PSG.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.