Tottenham x Brentford Betting tips for December 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x Brentford, Saturday, 6/12/2025

📅 6/12/2025 15:00

Tottenham 2.10

X 3.50

Brentford 3.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tottenham x Brentford:

🔮 Tottenham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham, you can win up to $1050.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Tottenham x Brentford:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-358.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-74.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brentford, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Tottenham matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Tottenham x Brentford, with Tottenham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brentford conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Tottenham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Brentford.
👉 It is not a good time for Brentford as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Tottenham vs Brentford?

Lets analyze the match between Tottenham and Brentford at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a modern stadium with strong support from the local fans, which could be an important factor for the home team.

📈 Table analysis: Brentford is slightly better positioned in the table than Tottenham, holding 13th place with 19 points in 13 games, while Tottenhams form is more irregular. This suggests that the Bees currently have a slightly higher morale and may enter this match confidently.

📰 Recent news: Tottenham is under pressure after three consecutive losses and criticism of their defense, despite having the leagues best shot conversion rate. Brentford made an important signing of forward Igor Thiago for £30 million, signaling offensive investment. This dynamic suggests the game will be played intensely and could favor the team that better exploits the opponents defensive weaknesses.

Based on median odds (2.1 for Tottenham win, 3.5 for draw, and 3.25 for Brentford win), we calculate the implied normalized probabilities: approximately 47% for Tottenham victory, 28% for a draw, and 25% for Brentford victory.

Analyzing recent statistical data — such as an average of 2 goals per game for both teams, 10-11 shots per game, and Tottenhams 56% ball possession — we estimate fair probabilities close to these: about 48% chance for Tottenham to win at home due to the stadium factor; around 27% for a draw; and about 25% for an away win, considering the visitors recent form.

Calculations of fair odds indicate values close to the median odds offered by bookmakers: around @2.08 for Spurs to win; @3.7 for a draw; @4 for Brentford to win.

Evaluating the expected value of the final odds (2.25 home / 3.5 draw / 3 away), we find a positive value in betting on the home team with EV close to +8%, confirming the initial suggestion from the Bets Kenya model, which also indicates value in this bet (+8%).

Final suggestion: Betting on Tottenham to win seems like a good choice here! Despite their recent difficulties, playing in their modern stadium with active supporters is a strong advantage against a solid but still technically inferior Brentford in this specific scenario.

Always remember: betting involves risks! Use this analysis as part of your overall strategy 😉⚽️

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Analysis from Tottenham x Brentford for the England Premier League – 6 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tottenham and Brentford.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449132 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on Tottenham x Brentford

Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur, led by Thomas Frank, is under intense pressure after a streak of three consecutive defeats, including a 2-1 loss to Arsenal and another 2-1 defeat to Fulham, where goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario was booed, leading Frank to label dissenters as “not real Tottenham supporters,” increasing fan discontent; the pressure continued in an important away match on December 2, 2025, at St James Park, where Spurs drew 2-2 with Newcastle, with defender Cristian Romero scoring two goals to secure a point, while Newcastle equalized with a VAR-awarded penalty converted by Gordon, and although the result eased some immediate tension, Frank still faces a decisive home fixture against Brentford—who are above Tottenham in the table—in the midst of concerns over the teams leaky defense, despite boasting the leagues best shot conversion rate (17.4%) and an expected goals performance above average (+10.2) this season.

Brentford: Brentford, also managed by Thomas Frank, secured the signing of Brazilian forward Igor Thiago from Club Brugge for £30 million on February 14, 2024, a move widely seen as confirmation of the departure of long-time striker Ivan Toney; the Bees have been exceptionally reliable at penalty conversion since their Premier League debut, converting 26 of 30 penalties with contributions from Toney, Bryan Mbeumo, and Kevin Schade, and after a 2-0 loss to Arsenal on December 3, 2025—where Mikel Merino and Bukayo Saka scored—the club is in 13th position in the league table.

England Premier League table analysis for Tottenham x Brentford

Tottenham: Tottenham is in 11th place with 19 points, quite far from the European competition qualification zone and also relatively safe from relegation. With a balanced score, the team can still seek a significant improvement in the table, as it is close to other clubs in the middle of the standings, and each point gained can help them move up a few positions. Therefore, the match against Brentford is important to try to climb the rankings and secure a good campaign, even if they are not very close to European spots at this moment.

Brentford: Brentford is right behind, in 13th place, also with 19 points, but with a lower goal difference than Tottenham. Like their opponent, Brentford is far from the relegation zone and has no real chances at the moment to fight for international competition spots, but needs to accumulate points to distance themselves from a possible decline in the table and to try to reach better positions in the middle of the standings. It’s an important game to maintain competitiveness and seek stability.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, as although they are not fighting for titles or threatened by relegation at the moment, each point is crucial to improve their position in the table and ensure a more comfortable campaign in the Premier League.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tottenham x Brentford

Is it a good idea to bet on Tottenham?

🔵 Tottenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$34.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $800.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔴 Brentford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Brentford

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tottenham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tottenham.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.