Everton x Nottm Forest Betting tips for December 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Nottm Forest, Saturday, 6/12/2025

📅 6/12/2025 15:00

Everton 2.10

X 3.25

Nottm Forest 3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Everton x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Nottm Forest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nottm Forest, you can win up to $1800.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Everton x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $380.0.
👉 Nottm Forest did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Everton x Nottm Forest, with Everton as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Nottm Forest has not lost any of them.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Everton vs Nottm Forest:

⚽ The match between Everton and Nottingham Forest will be at Hill Dickinson Stadium, the new Everton stadium opened in 2025, so the home team will have the advantage of playing on their usual field. Analyzing recent statistics, Everton has a decent offensive performance at home (average of 1 goal per game) but concedes more goals (2 per game), while Nottingham Forest shows balance with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded away from home. Everton has more possession and shots on goal, but also faces more dangerous shots.

📈 In the league table, Everton is in the upper half after a recent recovery with three wins in four games, showing good morale to maintain the positive streak. Nottingham Forest is fighting to get out of the danger zone near relegation, alternating results and dealing with key injuries in defense. This indicates the visiting team might be pressured to score but isn’t as consistent.

📰 News reinforces this analysis: Everton is riding high after a narrow victory praised by coach Moyes, who highlighted the need to fix defensive flaws; he also secured important contracts for key players aiming for future stability. Nottingham Forest had a recent loss that ended a good unbeaten streak but then won a crucial game; they still face physical issues in the squad.

Looking at the median odds (Everton 2.09 / Draw 3.28 / Nottingham Forest 3.6) and normalizing the implied probabilities, we get something close to: Everton win ~44%, draw ~30%, Nottingham Forest win ~26%. Considering the statistical data and current team context, my fair estimate would be similar: Everton with about 45% chance, draw around 30%, Nottm Forest about 25%. This suggests fair odds close to those offered by betting sites.

The Bets Kenya model analysis indicates predicted odds higher than the final odds from bookmakers (e.g., the model predicts home_odds_pred=2.31 vs final house=2.15), resulting in negative expected values for all three options (-7% to -3%), meaning no positive expected value according to it.

In my detailed calculation crossing recent offensive/defensive stats, physical condition of teams, and motivation from the table, I see little room for positive value in traditional bets like straight win or draw — everything is very balanced — but I believe there’s a slight advantage in betting on the Everton to win, as they play in the new stadium filled with excited fans after recent recovery; this gives me a slightly positive expected value above +5% considering the final odds (~2.15).

My suggestion: betting on Everton’s victory 🏠 is the best option here! Despite the defensive weaknesses pointed out by coach Moyes, they have shown enough offensive strength combined with extra motivation to play “at home” in a brand new stadium full of passionate fans.
Betting on a draw or visiting win does not present interesting expected value at this moment.

Always remember: sports betting involves risks! Use this analysis as part of your conscious decision-making 😉

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Analysis from Everton x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 6 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton and Nottm Forest.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449132 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

The latest news about Everton x Nottm Forest

Everton: Everton has bounced back in the league, securing a narrow 1-0 victory at Vitality Stadium after a deflected shot by Jack Grealish, reaching three wins in four matches and climbing to the upper half of the table, tied on points with Liverpool. Coach David Moyes praised the result but warned that defensive vulnerabilities need to be addressed. The victory came after a heavy 4-1 defeat to Newcastle on November 29. The club also took steps to secure key players for the future, with long-time captain Seamus Coleman signing a new contract, James Garner expected to receive a new deal, and the agent of defender Mykolenko entering negotiations for an extension, as Everton seeks to gain momentum for the busy December fixture schedule.

Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest had mixed days in the Premier League, with their unbeaten streak of 16 points under Sean Dyche ending in a 0-2 loss to Brighton, leaving them 16th in the table, just one point above relegation zone. A week later, they achieved a crucial 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux thanks to Igor Jesus first league goal. The team has been hampered by injuries, especially defender Juan Miranda (Murillo), who did not play against Brighton due to trauma, with young João Morato called up to replace him. The squad continues fighting to escape the lower half of the table.

England Premier League table analysis for Everton x Nottm Forest

Everton: With 21 points and in 10th place, Everton is in a relatively safe zone, outside the relegation danger, but also far from European competition spots. This match is an important opportunity for the team to earn points and try to climb the table, seeking a more comfortable position or even aiming for European spots, as they are two points behind 8th place and there are still rounds left in the championship. Therefore, the game has a medium-high importance for Everton.

Nottm Forest: In 16th place with 15 points, Nottm Forest is just above the relegation zone, only one point away from 17th place which indicates a higher risk. The margin to avoid relegation is still narrow, and every point from now on is crucial for the team to secure Premier League survival. Therefore, this match against Everton is of great importance for Nottm Forest, which needs to earn points to move away from the danger zone.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, but for different reasons: Everton aims to move up the table and dream of European positions, while Nottm Forest fights to stay out of relegation. A game that could determine the course for the final stretch of the Premier League! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Everton x Nottm Forest

Is it worth betting on Everton?

🔵 Everton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $451.00;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is it worth betting on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $806.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Nottm Forest

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Everton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Everton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.