CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau Betting tips for December 4 in Romania Cup
| 📅 4/12/2025 12:00 |
 CS Sporting Liesti4.60 |
X 3.50 |
AFC Metalul Buzau  1.66 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau:
🔮 AFC Metalul Buzau wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Metalul Buzau, you can win up to $830.00!
The main points for the tip for CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau:
👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Metalul Buzau in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CS Sporting Liesti scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 CS Sporting Liesti matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 AFC Metalul Buzau caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CS Sporting Liesti conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CS Sporting Liesti conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AFC Metalul Buzau.
👉 Even as a visitor, AFC Metalul Buzau won the last 3 head-to-head matches CS Sporting Liesti´s territory
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Analysis from CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau for the Romania Cup – 4 of December
🏟️ CS Sporting Liesti X AFC Metalul Buzau – Romania Cup
📅 4 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 CS Sporting Liesti – Winning probability: 4.10% | Fair line: 24.38
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.53% | Fair line: 10.49
🔴 AFC Metalul Buzau – Winning probability: 86.37% | Fair line: 1.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 CS Sporting Liesti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1448683 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau
Should you bet on CS Sporting Liesti?
🔵 CS Sporting Liesti: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $144.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$816.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $250.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.
Is it worth betting on AFC Metalul Buzau?
🔴 AFC Metalul Buzau: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $567.60;
- And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$427.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 CS Sporting Liesti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 CS Sporting Liesti, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 CS Sporting Liesti.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 AFC Metalul Buzau.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CS Sporting Liesti x AFC Metalul Buzau
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
