Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for December 7 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 7/12/2025 16:30 |
 Borussia Dortmund1.57 |
X 4.40 |
TSG Hoffenheim  5.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim:
🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $785.00!
The main points for the tip for Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against TSG Hoffenheim, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, TSG Hoffenheim has not lost any of them.
🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Lets analyze the match between Borussia Dortmund and TSG Hoffenheim at Signal Iduna Park, which is Borussia Dortmunds official stadium, known for its electrifying atmosphere and capacity for over 81,000 fans. This naturally gives Dortmund a home advantage.
Statistically, Borussia Dortmund has a solid home performance in the last 5 matches: scored 9 goals and conceded 5, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss. Additionally, they maintain a high ball possession average (58%) and more shots on target than the opponent (18 vs 10), showing control of the game. Hoffenheim also performs well away with a high average of goals scored (17 in recent away games) but concedes many goals (14), indicating defensive vulnerability.
The median odds indicate a clear favoritism for Dortmund (1.57), with a draw around 4.4 and Hoffenheims win about 5. After normalizing the implied probabilities of the median odds, we get approximately: Dortmund win ~59%, draw ~15%, Hoffenheim win ~26%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats and the crowd support at Signal Iduna Park, my estimate is close to this.
The Bets Kenya model suggests very low odds for the home team win (~1.37), indicating a very high probability (>70%), while overestimating the chances of draws (~6) and away wins (~9). This seems exaggerated given Hoffenheims recent good form even away.
Calculating expected value using the final odds provided:
- Dortmund EV is high positive (+17%), confirming value in betting on their win;
- Draw EV is negative (-26%);
- Visitor win EV is negative (-49%).
Recommended bet: Borussia Dortmunds win with a significant positive expected value — worth betting! ⚽🔥
📰 News:
Dortmund is motivated after being eliminated from the cup, seeking recovery in the Bundesliga; coach Kovac focuses on tactical adjustments; meanwhile, Hoffenheim is on a roll after a recent big win under interim coach Baum — but still faces internal administrative instabilities that could affect team focus.
📈 Table/morale analysis:
Dortmund needs to bounce back to maintain a strong position in the league; playing in their iconic stadium with passionate fans provides a big incentive to win this direct clash against Hoffenheim, which is fighting for a European spot but may feel pressure away from home.
Overall, I agree with the bet suggested by the Bets Kenya model on the home team’s victory due to the combination of recent solid offensive/defensive stats, strong home advantage at Signal Iduna Park, and current motivational context — this is a safe bet with good expected return! 💰✅
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim?
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Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of December
🏟️ Borussia Dortmund X TSG Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 72.97% | Fair line: 1.37
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.36% | Fair line: 6.11
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 10.67% | Fair line: 9.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Borussia Dortmund and TSG Hoffenheim.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449132 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Latest news on Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund suffered a 0-1 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen in the DFB-Pokal round of 16 on December 3, 2025, with Ibrahim Maza scoring the decisive goal. The loss caused disappointment among players like Felix Nmecha, who defended Adeyemis efforts, while the match also drew criticism towards the referee and VAR decisions. Despite being eliminated from the cup, coach Niko Kovac – who took over in February 2025 – remains focused on improving team training and managing transfer market activities, highlighted by the recent one-year extension of goalkeeper Alexander Meyers contract until June 2027. The club president, Hans-Joachim Watzke, was officially appointed “Ligapräsident” of the DFL, as Dortmund turns its attention to the upcoming Bundesliga match against 1899 Hoffenheim on Sunday, aiming for recovery and league re-establishment.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim entered the winter break on a high after a convincing 3-0 victory over FC Augsburg, securing their spot among Champions League qualifiers under interim coach Manuel Baum, following the recent departure of coach Sandro Wagner. The club’s sports management is now led by sporting director Andreas Schicker, who praised the team’s “enthusiastic football,” while marketing head Tim Jost and vice-captain Grischa Prömel, recently recovered from an anterior cruciate ligament injury, discussed the team’s upward trajectory and future plans. The organization is preparing for upcoming commitments — including a high-profile game against Borussia Dortmund — amidst internal elections that could reshape the club’s management, with former player Henssler currently ineligible to run for a management position.
Table analysis for the game between Borussia Dortmund and TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund is currently in 3rd place with 25 points, competing for a Champions League spot. As they are very close to RB Leipzig (2nd with 26 points) and slightly ahead of Bayer Leverkusen (4th with 23 points), this match is crucial to maintain or even improve their position. A win could give them more confidence in the fight for the top and qualification for the Champions League group stage. Therefore, the game is extremely important for Dortmund, which needs to keep accumulating points to secure its place in Europes top competition. ⚽🔥
TSG Hoffenheim: Hoffenheim is in 5th place with 23 points, just behind Bayer Leverkusen, also with 23 points, seeking a spot in the Europa League. The difference from Dortmund (3rd) is small, just two points. Winning this match would be essential to improve their position and get closer to the higher spots that grant access to continental competitions. For this reason, the match is very relevant for Hoffenheim, which still has clear chances to climb the table and secure a European spot. 💪🌟
Summary: The game is important for both teams, as Borussia Dortmund and TSG Hoffenheim are practically side by side in the table, fighting for qualifying spots for the Champions League and Europa League, respectively. The result could significantly influence each teams position and chances in the final stretch of the championship.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim
Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?
🔵 Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $416.10;
- And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$146.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $544.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.00.
Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $440.00;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Borussia Dortmund and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Borussia Dortmund.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
