El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum Betting tips for December 4 in Egypt Cup
| 📅 4/12/2025 12:30 |
 El Gounah1.72 |
X 3.28 |
Asyut Petroleum  4.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum:
🔮 El Gounah wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on El Gounah, you can win up to $860.00!
Some important points for the tip for El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum:
👉 If you had bet $100 on El Gounah in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Asyut Petroleum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $605.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Asyut Petroleum scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, El Gounah conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Asyut Petroleum is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
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Analysis from El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum for the Egypt Cup – 4 of December
🏟️ El Gounah X Asyut Petroleum – Egypt Cup
📅 4 of December, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 El Gounah – Winning probability: 68.96% | Fair line: 1.45
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.65% | Fair line: 8.58
🔴 Asyut Petroleum – Winning probability: 19.39% | Fair line: 5.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 El Gounah
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1448683 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum
Is it worth betting on El Gounah?
🔵 El Gounah: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $496.80;
- And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$186.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $273.60
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$606.40.
Is it worth betting on Asyut Petroleum?
🔴 Asyut Petroleum: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $665.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$145.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 El Gounah
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 El Gounah, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 El Gounah.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Asyut Petroleum.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Gounah x Asyut Petroleum
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
