Tusker x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for December 5 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars, Friday, 5/12/2025

📅 5/12/2025 12:00

Tusker 2.10

X 2.88

Ulinzi Stars 3.47

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars

Important information for your tip for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ulinzi Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ulinzi Stars scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Tusker x Ulinzi Stars, with Tusker as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tusker conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Ulinzi Stars has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tusker x Ulinzi Stars?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tusker x Ulinzi Stars, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tusker x Ulinzi Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 5 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1448893 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars

Is it worth betting on Tusker?

🔵 Tusker: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $462.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $601.60;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$78.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ulinzi Stars?

🔴 Ulinzi Stars: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $642.20;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$97.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x Ulinzi Stars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Tusker, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tusker.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Ulinzi Stars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x Ulinzi Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.