KCB x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for December 7 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 7/12/2025 12:00 |
KCB1.92 |
X 2.90 |
Sofapaka FC ![]() 4.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for KCB x Sofapaka FC:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for KCB x Sofapaka FC
Important information for your tip for KCB x Sofapaka FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $82.0.
👉 KCB did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 KCB matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from KCB x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 7 of December
🏟️ KCB X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 KCB – Winning probability: 52.87% | Fair line: 1.89
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.02% | Fair line: 3.33
🔴 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 17.10% | Fair line: 5.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KCB x Sofapaka FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449543 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for KCB x Sofapaka FC
Is it a good idea to bet on KCB?
🔵 KCB: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $487.60
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$17.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $570.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sofapaka FC?
🔴 Sofapaka FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $510.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x Sofapaka FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x Sofapaka FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 KCB and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 KCB.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x Sofapaka FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

KCB