SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione Betting tips for December 7 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 7/12/2025 13:30 |
SCD Progresso Calcio2.85 |
X 3.35 |
Lentigione ![]() 2.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione
The main points for the tip for SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione:
👉 If you had bet $100 on SCD Progresso Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-271.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, SCD Progresso Calcio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, SCD Progresso Calcio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lentigione conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione for the Italy Serie D – 7 of December
🏟️ SCD Progresso Calcio X Lentigione – Italy Serie D
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 SCD Progresso Calcio – Winning probability: 24.37% | Fair line: 4.1
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.92% | Fair line: 3.58
🔴 Lentigione – Winning probability: 47.71% | Fair line: 2.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449456 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione
Is it worth betting on SCD Progresso Calcio?
🔵 SCD Progresso Calcio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $444.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $658.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$62.00.
Is it worth betting on Lentigione?
🔴 Lentigione: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $576.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$56.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SCD Progresso Calcio x Lentigione
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

SCD Progresso Calcio