VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 11/12/2025 17:45 |
 VfB Stuttgart1.25 |
X 5.95 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv  11.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv:
🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $625.00!
Important information for your tip for VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv:
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $143.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maccabi Tel Aviv in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Maccabi Tel Aviv:
Lets analyze the match between VfB Stuttgart and Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League, which will be played at the MHP Arena stadium, home of Stuttgart. The stadium is the usual venue for the German team, giving them a natural advantage.
📈 Positioning analysis: VfB Stuttgart has been showing strength at home with 4 wins and only 1 loss in their last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 1.6 goals per game and conceding about 1.6 goals as well. Maccabi Tel Aviv has a weak away record in the same league, with no wins in the last five games and conceding many goals (more than 2 per game on average). This indicates Stuttgart is much more comfortable and consistent in head-to-head matches.
📰 Recent news: Despite a heavy loss to Bayern (0-5), Stuttgart remains optimistic with key reinforcements arriving and players in good form like Deniz Undav. They also advanced in the DFB-Pokal recently, showing high competitive capacity. On the other hand, Maccabi Tel Aviv faces evident continental difficulties with recent heavy defeats (6-0 against European opponents) and lacks offensive effectiveness from striker Kervin Andrade.
Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: Stuttgart win ~75%, draw ~16%, Maccabi win ~9%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats of the teams combined with recent news about player fitness and local reinforcements, my fair estimate would be close to: Stuttgart victory with a probability between 70% and 75%, a draw around 18% to 20% due to the natural balance in the Europa League; away win below 10%, given their poor form away.
Therefore, fair betting odds would be approximately: Stuttgart win @1.33 – @1.40; Draw @5 – @5.50; Away win above @10 but less likely.
Analyzing the expected values of the final odds offered (@1.20 for home win) compared to my forecast (@1.35), I see positive value in betting on the home team because bookmakers are paying less than my fair estimate suggests — but not high enough to be a super opportunity (EV around +14%). Bets on draw or away are not expected to have positive value due to high odds but low realistic probability of these outcomes.
Final suggestion: Betting on VfB Stuttgarts victory is safe here with a good expected value (+14%), considering their recent technical/tactical superiority combined with the real home advantage at the modern MHP Arena where they usually play.
The Bets Kenya club model fully agrees, indicating strong favoritism for the home team with significant positive EV.
So, lets trust this tip! ⚽🔥
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv for the UEFA Europa League – 11 of December
🏟️ VfB Stuttgart X Maccabi Tel Aviv – UEFA Europa League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 17:45
🔵 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 96.47% | Fair line: 1.04
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.61% | Fair line: 38.26
🔴 Maccabi Tel Aviv – Winning probability: 0.91% | Fair line: 109.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1451823 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Latest news about VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv
VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgarts recent week was a mix of setbacks and optimism under coach Sebastian Hoeneß, who after a 0‑5 defeat to Bayern Munich praised the champions as “the no longer outrageous,” while emphasizing that Stuttgart still presses high against them; despite the loss, the squad is expected to face Bayern again soon in the Bundesliga. In the DFB‑Pokal, the Swabians advanced after a 2‑0 victory over VfL Bochum, with forward Deniz Undav in great form, scoring important goals and securing a starting spot while Hoeneß balances rotation ahead of the cup quarter-finals. The club also completed a loan signing during the winter transfer window, securing Moroccan international Bilal El Khannouss from Leicester City until the end of the season and assigning him jersey number 11, while the Serbian forward Jovan Milosević’s loan from Partizan Belgrade expires at the end of the year, and the possible signing of South Korean forward Hyeon-Gyu Oh awaits a medical exam that could finalize a contract until 2030.
Maccabi Tel Aviv: Maccabi Tel Aviv is preparing for the UEFA Europa League match on December 11, 2025, against VfB Stuttgart, with regular players like defender Roy Revivo expected to play after his last league match, which earned him a 6.4 rating, while forward Kervin Andrade has yet to score despite some starts and substitute appearances in recent tough European matches, including a 6‑0 loss on November 27 and a 2‑0 loss on November 6, leaving the club focused on strengthening its continental performance while continuing its national campaign.
Table analysis for the match between VfB Stuttgart and Maccabi Tel Aviv
No table analysis was provided for this match.
Tips for the Match Odds market for VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv
Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?
🔵 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $240.00;
- And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $148.50;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$821.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Maccabi Tel Aviv?
🔴 Maccabi Tel Aviv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$890.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 VfB Stuttgart and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 VfB Stuttgart.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 VfB Stuttgart.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Maccabi Tel Aviv
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
