Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Conference League
| 📅 11/12/2025 20:00 |
 Hamrun Spartans8.50 |
X 5.75 |
Shakhtar Donetsk  1.28 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk:
🔮 Shakhtar Donetsk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Shakhtar Donetsk, you can win up to $640.00!
Important information for your tip for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hamrun Spartans in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $139.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-236.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Hamrun Spartans scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Shakhtar Donetsk is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 68.00% of possession.
👉 Hamrun Spartans is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Shakhtar Donetsk has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk for the UEFA Conference League – 11 of December
🏟️ Hamrun Spartans X Shakhtar Donetsk – UEFA Conference League
📅 11 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Hamrun Spartans – Winning probability: 10.48% | Fair line: 9.54
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.96% | Fair line: 11.16
🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk – Winning probability: 80.55% | Fair line: 1.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Hamrun Spartans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hamrun Spartans and Shakhtar Donetsk.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1451631 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
Is it a good idea to bet on Hamrun Spartans?
🔵 Hamrun Spartans: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $750.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $427.50
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$482.50.
Is betting on Shakhtar Donetsk worth it?
🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $226.80;
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$36.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Hamrun Spartans
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Hamrun Spartans and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Hamrun Spartans.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Hamrun Spartans.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hamrun Spartans x Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
