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Home » Predictions » Others » Valenciennes x Sochaux Betting tips for December 12 in France National
Friday, 12 December 2025, 18h30 France National
Valenciennes Valenciennes
PREDICTION Sochaux Wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Sochaux Sochaux
ODD: @2.72
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Valenciennes x Sochaux Betting tips for December 12 in France National

Our betting tip for Valenciennes x Sochaux, Friday, 12/12/2025
📅 12/12/2025
18:30
Valenciennes Valenciennes
2.45
X
3.02
Sochaux Sochaux
2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Valenciennes x Sochaux:

🔮 Sochaux wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sochaux, you can win up to $1360.00!

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The main points for the tip for Valenciennes x Sochaux:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valenciennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sochaux in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-186.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sochaux scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sochaux, Valenciennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Sochaux matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Sochaux has not lost any of them.
👉 Valenciennes has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sochaux playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Valenciennes x Sochaux for the France National – 12 of December

🏟️ Valenciennes X Sochaux – France National
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Valenciennes – Winning probability: 26.81% | Fair line: 3.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.18% | Fair line: 5.22
🔴 Sochaux – Winning probability: 54.01% | Fair line: 1.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Valenciennes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valenciennes x Sochaux right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452043 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Valenciennes x Sochaux

Should you bet on Valenciennes?

🔵 Valenciennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $391.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$338.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $383.80
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$426.20.

Should you bet on Sochaux?

🔴 Sochaux: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $928.80
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$468.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valenciennes x Sochaux

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Valenciennes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valenciennes x Sochaux

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Valenciennes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Valenciennes.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valenciennes x Sochaux

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves