Aarau x Etoile Carouge Betting tips for December 12 in Switzerland Challenge League
| 📅 12/12/2025 19:15 |
 Aarau1.52 |
X 4.00 |
Etoile Carouge  5.12 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aarau x Etoile Carouge:
🔮 Etoile Carouge wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Etoile Carouge, you can win up to $2560.00!
Some important points for the tip for Aarau x Etoile Carouge:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aarau in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-193.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Etoile Carouge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Aarau conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Aarau x Etoile Carouge?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aarau x Etoile Carouge, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Aarau x Etoile Carouge for the Switzerland Challenge League – 12 of December
🏟️ Aarau X Etoile Carouge – Switzerland Challenge League
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 19:15
🔵 Aarau – Winning probability: 63.38% | Fair line: 1.58
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.20% | Fair line: 7.58
🔴 Etoile Carouge – Winning probability: 23.42% | Fair line: 4.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aarau
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aarau and Etoile Carouge.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452043 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aarau x Etoile Carouge
Is betting on Aarau worth it?
🔵 Aarau: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $327.60
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$42.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Is it worth betting on Etoile Carouge?
🔴 Etoile Carouge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $947.60;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$177.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aarau x Etoile Carouge
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aarau
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aarau x Etoile Carouge
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Aarau, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Aarau.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Etoile Carouge.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aarau x Etoile Carouge
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
