Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg Betting tips for December 13 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 14:30

Borussia Mgladbach 2.00

X 3.75

Wolfsburg 3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1700.00!

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The main points for the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-12.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Borussia Mgladbach vs Wolfsburg:

Lets analyze the match between Borussia Mgladbach and Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga, which will take place at Borussia-Park, the legitimate home of Borussia Mgladbach. The home team has shown solid performance in their recent home games, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in the last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game at home recently and conceded only 0.8 goals per game during this period — indicating a relatively strong defense combined with an efficient attack.

On the other hand, Wolfsburg has been struggling away from home: in their last five away matches, they achieved just 1 victory against 3 losses and 1 draw, with an average of less than one goal per game (0.8) and conceding more (1.4). Additionally, Wolfsburg concedes more opponent shots (average of 17) than they create (9), indicating defensive vulnerability when playing away from their stadium.

The median odds suggest approximate normalized implied probabilities: Borussia Mgladbach victory around 50%, a draw close to ~26%, and Wolfsburg win around ~24%. Considering recent statistics — especially the good form of the home team at Borussia-Park — my fair estimate for the probabilities would be roughly:

• Borussia Mgladbach wins: ~55%
• Draw: ~25%
• Wolfsburg wins: ~20%

Thus, fair odds would be approximately: Borussia: 1.82; Draw: 4.00; Wolfsburg: 5.00.

The final odds offered by bookmakers show positive value for betting on Borussias victory with EV calculated by Bets Kenya at +8.5%, confirming this is the best bet based on the presented numbers.

📰 Important news:

Borussia recently reintegrated key players into their main squad, increasing their depth to face a tight schedule; additionally, they remain undefeated in the Bundesliga so far — giving the home team extra confidence.
Meanwhile, Wolfsburg is trying to recover under interim management after a long winless streak at home — although they recently won at their ground, they still show defensive weaknesses away from home.
These factors reinforce my favorable view of the home team in this matchup.

📈 Tactical and moral analysis in the table:

The current standings indicate Wolfsburg needs points to improve their situation, while Borussia can play more relaxed, maintaining a good positive streak.
This tends to favor the home team, who play confidently in front of their modern stadium — a decisive factor in the Bundesliga.

Final analysis of the Bets Kenya prediction:

Betting on Borussia Mgladbach to win makes both statistical and practical sense! I fully agree with the model as it indicates a significant positive expected value for this option.
I would avoid bets on the draw or away victory due to the low estimated fair probabilities combined with unattractive odds.
So let’s bet on the Foals 🐴🏠! The expected value calculated is above +8%, showing a good opportunity for those seeking consistent profit!

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 13 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Borussia Mgladbach and Wolfsburg.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news about Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg

Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach has recently reintegrated midfielder Sander and forward Honorat into the main team training, providing Coach Eugen Polanski with extra depth as the team faces a busy schedule; Fohlen remains unbeaten in the Bundesliga, having defeated Mainz 1-0 in their fifth league match — a victory that Polanski celebrated with his “Blödköpfe,” downplaying the recent elimination from the DFB-Pokal, after which he and assistant Blessin emphasized the need to focus on earning points, with the next challenge against Stuttgart.

VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg ended a long home victory drought in the Bundesliga on December 4, 2025, winning 3-1 against Union Berlin under interim coach Daniel Bauer, marking their first home win in the Bundesliga since January 2025 and generating optimism that recent tactical improvements could revive the teams season; at the same time, the club is preparing for a major management change, with reports that former Eintracht Frankfurt defender and now sporting director Pirmin Schwegler is expected to replace outgoing sporting director Sebastian Schindzielorz, while fan representatives continue criticizing recent government proposals on stadium bans, describing the negotiated “lazy commitment” on collective punishments as unsatisfactory.

Table analysis for the game between Borussia Mgladbach and Wolfsburg

Borussia Mgladbach: Borussia Mgladbach is in 10th place with 16 points, in a table zone that does not guarantee a spot for European competitions nor imminent relegation risks. However, the team can still improve its ranking to reach a spot in the Europa Conference League, since the team in 6th place has 22 points. Therefore, the match against Wolfsburg is important to keep accumulating points and try to make a push towards a better position in the table. It is a game that can influence the middle of the table and European opportunities.

Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg appears in 15th place with 12 points, occupying a tricky position close to the relegation zone. With only 4 points advantage over Heidenheim (16th, 11 points), which is fighting to avoid relegation, Wolfsburg desperately needs points to distance itself from danger. The match against Borussia Mgladbach is extremely important for Wolfsburg, as a defeat could put the team even closer to relegation, increasing pressure for the final rounds.

Summary: The game is very important for Wolfsburg, which fights to stay away from relegation, and also relevant for Borussia Mgladbach, which seeks to climb the table and reach a European spot. Therefore, it is a high-stakes match for both teams. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg

Is it worth betting on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $480.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?

🔴 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Borussia Mgladbach and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Borussia Mgladbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x Wolfsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.