Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC Betting tips for December 10 in Malta Challenge League
| π
10/12/2025 19:30 |
 Swieqi Utd1.82 |
X 3.70 |
Marsa FC  3.58 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC
The main points for the tip for Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC:
π If you had bet $100 on Swieqi Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
π If you had bet $100 on Marsa FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-372.0.
π In the last 6 matches as the home team, Swieqi Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 6 matches as the home team, Swieqi Utd conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 matches as the away team, Marsa FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Swieqi Utd has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Marsa FC playing at home.
Looking for another bookie to bet on Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC?
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Analysis from Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC for the Malta Challenge League – 10 of December
ποΈ Swieqi Utd X Marsa FC – Malta Challenge League
π
10 of December, 2025 – 19:30
π΅ Swieqi Utd – Winning probability: 64.67% | Fair line: 1.55
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.79% | Fair line: 4.81
π΄ Marsa FC – Winning probability: 14.54% | Fair line: 6.88
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Swieqi Utd
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Swieqi Utd?
π΅ Swieqi Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $533.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$183.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $567.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$223.00.
Is betting on Marsa FC worth it?
π΄ Marsa FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $387.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$463.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Swieqi Utd
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Swieqi Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Swieqi Utd.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Swieqi Utd x Marsa FC
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
