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Home » Predictions » Others » Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United Betting tips for December 13 in Australia A-League
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 08h35 Australia A-League
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
PREDICTION No tip
Adelaide United Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United Betting tips for December 13 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United, Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
08:35
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
2.25
X
3.78
Adelaide United Adelaide United
2.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United

The main points for the tip for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Adelaide United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-389.0.
👉 Melbourne Victory did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Adelaide United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Adelaide United, Melbourne Victory scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Adelaide United matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Adelaide United conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Melbourne Victory has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Adelaide United playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Adelaide United as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United for the Australia A-League – 13 of December

🏟️ Melbourne Victory X Adelaide United – Australia A-League
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 08:35
🔵 Melbourne Victory – Winning probability: 47.38% | Fair line: 2.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.50% | Fair line: 4.88
🔴 Adelaide United – Winning probability: 32.11% | Fair line: 3.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Melbourne Victory
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United

Is it a good idea to bet on Melbourne Victory?

🔵 Melbourne Victory: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $587.50;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$57.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $583.80;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$206.20.

Should you bet on Adelaide United?

🔴 Adelaide United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $556.80;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$123.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Melbourne Victory
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Melbourne Victory and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Melbourne Victory.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Adelaide United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne Victory x Adelaide United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves