Shamakhi FK x Zira IK Betting tips for December 13 in Azerbaijan Premier League
| 📅 13/12/2025 10:00 |
 Shamakhi FK4.45 |
X 3.20 |
Zira IK  1.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shamakhi FK x Zira IK:
🔮 Zira IK wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Zira IK, you can win up to $875.00!
Some important points for the tip for Shamakhi FK x Zira IK:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shamakhi FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Zira IK in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Shamakhi FK scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Shamakhi FK conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Zira IK.
👉 Even as a visitor, Zira IK won the last 3 head-to-head matches Shamakhi FK´s territory
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Analysis from Shamakhi FK x Zira IK for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 13 of December
🏟️ Shamakhi FK X Zira IK – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Shamakhi FK – Winning probability: 13.07% | Fair line: 7.65
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.75% | Fair line: 5.97
🔴 Zira IK – Winning probability: 70.17% | Fair line: 1.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Shamakhi FK x Zira IK is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Shamakhi FK x Zira IK
Is it a good idea to bet on Shamakhi FK?
🔵 Shamakhi FK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $448.50
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$421.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $374.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.
Should you bet on Zira IK?
🔴 Zira IK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 700 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$225.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Shamakhi FK x Zira IK
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x Zira IK
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Shamakhi FK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Shamakhi FK.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Zira IK.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamakhi FK x Zira IK
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
