MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC Betting tips for December 13 in Israel Premier League
| π
13/12/2025 13:00 |
 MS Ashdod2.07 |
X 3.25 |
Hapoel Jerusalem FC  3.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Some important points for the tip for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC:
π If you had bet $100 on MS Ashdod in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
π If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Jerusalem FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
π In the last 8 matches as the home team, MS Ashdod scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hapoel Jerusalem FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Jerusalem FC, MS Ashdod scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 4 matches as the home team, MS Ashdod conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hapoel Jerusalem FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Playing as the home team, MS Ashdod conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Hapoel Jerusalem FC.
π In the last 4 road matches, Hapoel Jerusalem FC has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC for the Israel Premier League – 13 of December
ποΈ MS Ashdod X Hapoel Jerusalem FC – Israel Premier League
π
13 of December, 2025 – 13:00
π΅ MS Ashdod – Winning probability: 41.61% | Fair line: 2.4
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.38% | Fair line: 3.19
π΄ Hapoel Jerusalem FC – Winning probability: 27.01% | Fair line: 3.7
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 MS Ashdod
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452259 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Is it worth betting on MS Ashdod?
π΅ MS Ashdod: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $449.40
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$130.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $697.50
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$7.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on Hapoel Jerusalem FC worth it?
π΄ Hapoel Jerusalem FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$136.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 MS Ashdod
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 MS Ashdod, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 MS Ashdod.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Hapoel Jerusalem FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for MS Ashdod x Hapoel Jerusalem FC
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
