Spezia x Modena Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Spezia x Modena, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 14:00

Spezia 2.91

X 3.03

Modena 2.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Spezia x Modena:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Spezia x Modena

Some important points for the tip for Spezia x Modena:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Spezia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Modena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Spezia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Modena, Spezia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Spezia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Spezia x Modena, with Spezia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Modena conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Spezia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Modena playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Spezia x Modena?

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Analysis from Spezia x Modena for the Italy Serie B – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Spezia x Modena right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452002 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Spezia x Modena

Is it a good idea to bet on Spezia?

🔵 Spezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $458.40
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$301.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $649.60;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$30.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Modena?

🔴 Modena: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $607.20;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$47.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Spezia x Modena

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Spezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spezia x Modena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Spezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Spezia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Modena.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spezia x Modena

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.