CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha Betting tips for December 13 in Portugal Liga 3
| 📅 13/12/2025 16:00 |
 CD Mafra1.54 |
X 3.58 |
Sporting Covilha  5.32 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha:
🔮 CD Mafra wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Mafra, you can win up to $770.00!
Some important points for the tip for CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha:
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mafra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $342.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Covilha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, CD Mafra scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sporting Covilha, CD Mafra scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 CD Mafra matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, CD Mafra conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sporting Covilha.
👉 CD Mafra has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sporting Covilha playing at home.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha for the Portugal Liga 3 – 13 of December
🏟️ CD Mafra X Sporting Covilha – Portugal Liga 3
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 CD Mafra – Winning probability: 69.05% | Fair line: 1.45
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.56% | Fair line: 4.64
🔴 Sporting Covilha – Winning probability: 9.39% | Fair line: 10.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Mafra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha
Is it a good idea to bet on CD Mafra?
🔵 CD Mafra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $372.60
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$62.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $567.60
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.40.
Is betting on Sporting Covilha worth it?
🔴 Sporting Covilha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $388.80;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$521.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Mafra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 CD Mafra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 CD Mafra. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Mafra x Sporting Covilha
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
