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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Catanzaro x Avellino Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 16h15 Italy Serie B
Catanzaro Catanzaro
PREDICTION No tip
Avellino Avellino
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Catanzaro x Avellino Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Catanzaro x Avellino, Saturday, 13/12/2025
πŸ“… 13/12/2025
16:15
Catanzaro Catanzaro
1.90
X
3.40
Avellino Avellino
3.81

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Catanzaro x Avellino:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Catanzaro x Avellino

Some important points for the tip for Catanzaro x Avellino:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Catanzaro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avellino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Catanzaro scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Avellino, Catanzaro scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Catanzaro matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Catanzaro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Catanzaro has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Avellino playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Catanzaro x Avellino for the Italy Serie B – 13 of December

🏟️ Catanzaro X Avellino – Italy Serie B
πŸ“… 13 of December, 2025 – 16:15
πŸ”΅ Catanzaro – Winning probability: 55.26% | Fair line: 1.81
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.82% | Fair line: 4.38
πŸ”΄ Avellino – Winning probability: 21.92% | Fair line: 4.56
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Catanzaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Catanzaro and Avellino.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Catanzaro x Avellino

Is it a good idea to bet on Catanzaro?

πŸ”΅ Catanzaro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$45.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$218.00.

Is betting on Avellino worth it?

πŸ”΄ Avellino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $618.20
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$161.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Catanzaro x Avellino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Catanzaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Catanzaro x Avellino

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Catanzaro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Catanzaro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Catanzaro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Catanzaro x Avellino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves