Ourense x Barakaldo Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
| π
13/12/2025 17:30 |
 Ourense2.38 |
X 2.87 |
Barakaldo  2.93 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ourense x Barakaldo:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ourense x Barakaldo
Some important points for the tip for Ourense x Barakaldo:
π If you had bet $100 on Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $835.0.
π If you had bet $100 on Barakaldo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
π In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ourense scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 4 Ourense matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
π In the last 7 matches as the away team, Barakaldo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Ourense is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Ourense x Barakaldo for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 13 of December
ποΈ Ourense X Barakaldo – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
π
13 of December, 2025 – 17:30
π΅ Ourense – Winning probability: 45.52% | Fair line: 2.2
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.88% | Fair line: 3.04
π΄ Barakaldo – Winning probability: 21.59% | Fair line: 4.63
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ourense
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ourense and Barakaldo.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ourense x Barakaldo
Should you bet on Ourense?
π΅ Ourense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $634.80;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$94.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $617.10;
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$52.90.
Should you bet on Barakaldo?
π΄ Barakaldo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $424.60
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$355.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ourense x Barakaldo
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ourense
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ourense x Barakaldo
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Ourense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ourense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Ourense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ourense x Barakaldo
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
