Cesena x Mantova Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cesena x Mantova, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 18:30

Cesena 1.88

X 3.38

Mantova 3.86

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cesena x Mantova:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Cesena x Mantova

Important information for your tip for Cesena x Mantova:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cesena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mantova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cesena scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Mantova, Cesena scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cesena x Mantova, with Cesena as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Cesena conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Mantova.
👉 Cesena is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Cesena x Mantova for the Italy Serie B – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cesena x Mantova right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cesena x Mantova

Should you bet on Cesena?

🔵 Cesena: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $519.20;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$109.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $618.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$121.20.

Is it worth betting on Mantova?

🔴 Mantova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $429.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$421.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cesena x Mantova

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cesena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cesena x Mantova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cesena, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cesena.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cesena x Mantova

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.