FC Thun x St Gallen Betting tips for December 13 in Switzerland Super League
| π
13/12/2025 19:30 |
FC Thun1.99 |
X 3.55 |
St Gallen ![]() 3.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Thun x St Gallen:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Thun x St Gallen
Some important points for the tip for FC Thun x St Gallen:
π If you had bet $100 on FC Thun in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $288.0.
π If you had bet $100 on St Gallen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
π In the last 4 matches as the home team against St Gallen, FC Thun scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 4 head-to-head matches between FC Thun x St Gallen, with FC Thun as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
π In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Thun conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Playing as the home team, FC Thun conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against St Gallen.
π In the last 4 road matches, St Gallen has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from FC Thun x St Gallen for the Switzerland Super League – 13 of December
ποΈ FC Thun X St Gallen – Switzerland Super League
π
13 of December, 2025 – 19:30
π΅ FC Thun – Winning probability: 50.00% | Fair line: 2.0
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.18% | Fair line: 3.97
π΄ St Gallen – Winning probability: 24.82% | Fair line: 4.03
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Thun
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on FC Thun x St Gallen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Thun x St Gallen
Is it worth betting on FC Thun?
π΅ FC Thun: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$5.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$112.50.
Should you bet on St Gallen?
π΄ St Gallen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$175.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Thun x St Gallen
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Thun
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Thun x St Gallen
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FC Thun, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Thun.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 St Gallen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Thun x St Gallen
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FC Thun