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Home » Predictions » Others » Eldense x SD Tarazona Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 15h15 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Eldense Eldense
PREDICTION Eldense wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
SD Tarazona SD Tarazona
ODD: @1.75
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Eldense x SD Tarazona Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Eldense x SD Tarazona, Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
15:15
Eldense Eldense
1.75
X
3.09
SD Tarazona SD Tarazona
4.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Eldense x SD Tarazona:

🔮 Eldense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eldense, you can win up to $875.00!

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The main points for the tip for Eldense x SD Tarazona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Eldense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $235.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Tarazona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Eldense scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Eldense x SD Tarazona for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 13 of December

🏟️ Eldense X SD Tarazona – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 15:15
🔵 Eldense – Winning probability: 71.17% | Fair line: 1.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.60% | Fair line: 4.63
🔴 SD Tarazona – Winning probability: 7.23% | Fair line: 13.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Eldense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Eldense x SD Tarazona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Eldense x SD Tarazona

Should you bet on Eldense?

🔵 Eldense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $532.50;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$242.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $459.80;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on SD Tarazona?

🔴 SD Tarazona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $273.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$657.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Eldense x SD Tarazona

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Eldense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eldense x SD Tarazona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Eldense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Eldense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Eldense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eldense x SD Tarazona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves