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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 13 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 11h00 Kenya Premier League
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
PREDICTION No tip
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
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Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 13 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks, Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
11:00
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
2.20
X
2.75
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks

Some important points for the tip for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 8 Mara Sugar FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks?

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Analysis from Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 13 of December

🏟️ Mara Sugar FC X Kariobangi Sharks – Kenya Premier League
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Mara Sugar FC – Winning probability: 39.82% | Fair line: 2.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.64% | Fair line: 3.26
🔴 Kariobangi Sharks – Winning probability: 29.54% | Fair line: 3.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452259 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks

Is it a good idea to bet on Mara Sugar FC?

🔵 Mara Sugar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $542.50;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.50.

Is it worth betting on Kariobangi Sharks?

🔴 Kariobangi Sharks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mara Sugar FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mara Sugar FC x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves