FK Kapaz x FK Gabala Betting tips for December 14 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 10:00

FK Kapaz 2.56

X 3.16

FK Gabala 2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala

Some important points for the tip for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Gabala in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FK Kapaz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, FK Gabala conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FK Kapaz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FK Gabala.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on FK Kapaz x FK Gabala?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FK Kapaz x FK Gabala, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FK Kapaz x FK Gabala for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Kapaz?

🔵 FK Kapaz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $604.80
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.20.

Is betting on FK Gabala worth it?

🔴 FK Gabala: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$53.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Kapaz x FK Gabala

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Kapaz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FK Kapaz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FK Kapaz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FK Gabala.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Kapaz x FK Gabala

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.