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Home » Predictions » Others » Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W) Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Primera Women
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Primera Women
Eibar (W) Eibar (W)
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid (W) Wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid (W) Atletico Madrid (W)
ODD: @1.25
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Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W) Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Primera Women

Our betting tip for Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W), Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
11:00
Eibar (W) Eibar (W)
10.00
X
4.75
Atletico Madrid (W) Atletico Madrid (W)
1.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W):

🔮 Atletico Madrid (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid (W), you can win up to $625.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W):

👉 If you had bet $100 on Eibar (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Atletico Madrid (W) matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Eibar (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Atletico Madrid (W).

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Summary

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Analysis from Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W) for the Spain Primera Women – 14 of December

🏟️ Eibar (W) X Atletico Madrid (W) – Spain Primera Women
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Eibar (W) – Winning probability: 0.41% | Fair line: 243.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.16% | Fair line: 24.01
🔴 Atletico Madrid (W) – Winning probability: 95.43% | Fair line: 1.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Eibar (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Eibar (W) and Atletico Madrid (W).

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W)

Is it worth betting on Eibar (W)?

🔵 Eibar (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $150.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$810.00.

Is betting on Atletico Madrid (W) worth it?

🔴 Atletico Madrid (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – this would give you a profit of $237.50
  • And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$187.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W)

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Eibar (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W)

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 Eibar (W), and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Eibar (W).

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Atletico Madrid (W).

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eibar (W) x Atletico Madrid (W)

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves