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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Portimonense x Leixoes Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
Portimonense Portimonense
PREDICTION No tip
Leixoes Leixoes
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Portimonense x Leixoes Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Portimonense x Leixoes, Sunday, 14/12/2025
πŸ“… 14/12/2025
11:00
Portimonense Portimonense
2.37
X
3.20
Leixoes Leixoes
2.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Portimonense x Leixoes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Portimonense x Leixoes

Important information for your tip for Portimonense x Leixoes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Portimonense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leixoes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Leixoes, Portimonense scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Portimonense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Leixoes received red cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Portimonense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Leixoes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Portimonense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Leixoes.
πŸ‘‰ Portimonense has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Leixoes playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Leixoes as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Portimonense x Leixoes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Portimonense x Leixoes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Portimonense x Leixoes for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 14 of December

🏟️ Portimonense X Leixoes – Portugal Segunda Liga
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Portimonense – Winning probability: 37.27% | Fair line: 2.68
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.94% | Fair line: 3.71
πŸ”΄ Leixoes – Winning probability: 35.78% | Fair line: 2.79
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Portimonense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Portimonense x Leixoes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Portimonense x Leixoes

Is betting on Portimonense worth it?

πŸ”΅ Portimonense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $506.90;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$123.10.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leixoes?

πŸ”΄ Leixoes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $626.40
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$13.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Portimonense x Leixoes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Portimonense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portimonense x Leixoes

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Portimonense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Portimonense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Leixoes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portimonense x Leixoes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves