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Home » Predictions » Others » Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga II
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 12h30 Germany Bundesliga II
Elversberg Elversberg
PREDICTION Elversberg wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Fortuna Dusseldorf Fortuna Dusseldorf
ODD: @1.57
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Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
12:30
Elversberg Elversberg
1.57
X
4.10
Fortuna Dusseldorf Fortuna Dusseldorf
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf:

🔮 Elversberg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Elversberg, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Elversberg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-156.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Dusseldorf in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Fortuna Dusseldorf as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf for the Germany Bundesliga II – 14 of December

🏟️ Elversberg X Fortuna Dusseldorf – Germany Bundesliga II
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 Elversberg – Winning probability: 72.91% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.42% | Fair line: 5.15
🔴 Fortuna Dusseldorf – Winning probability: 7.67% | Fair line: 13.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Elversberg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Elversberg and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

Should you bet on Elversberg?

🔵 Elversberg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $416.10;
  • And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$146.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$221.00.

Is it worth betting on Fortuna Dusseldorf?

🔴 Fortuna Dusseldorf: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$600.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Elversberg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Elversberg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Elversberg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elversberg x Fortuna Dusseldorf

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves