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Home » Predictions » Others » Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona Betting tips for December 14 in Switzerland Challenge League
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h00 Switzerland Challenge League
Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax
PREDICTION Neuchatel Xamax wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
AC Bellinzona AC Bellinzona
ODD: @1.75
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Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona Betting tips for December 14 in Switzerland Challenge League

Our betting tip for Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
13:00
Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax
1.75
X
3.60
AC Bellinzona AC Bellinzona
4.02

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona:

🔮 Neuchatel Xamax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Neuchatel Xamax, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Neuchatel Xamax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Bellinzona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Neuchatel Xamax scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Neuchatel Xamax matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Neuchatel Xamax conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Bellinzona conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Neuchatel Xamax conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against AC Bellinzona.
👉 It is not a good time for AC Bellinzona as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona for the Switzerland Challenge League – 14 of December

🏟️ Neuchatel Xamax X AC Bellinzona – Switzerland Challenge League
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Neuchatel Xamax – Winning probability: 58.67% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.78% | Fair line: 4.59
🔴 AC Bellinzona – Winning probability: 19.56% | Fair line: 5.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Neuchatel Xamax
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Neuchatel Xamax and AC Bellinzona.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona

Is it worth betting on Neuchatel Xamax?

🔵 Neuchatel Xamax: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $442.50
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$32.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on AC Bellinzona?

🔴 AC Bellinzona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $604.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$196.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Neuchatel Xamax
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Neuchatel Xamax and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Neuchatel Xamax.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 AC Bellinzona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Neuchatel Xamax x AC Bellinzona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves