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Home » Predictions » Others » Aberdeen x Kilmarnock Betting tips for December 14 in Scotland Premiership
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 15h00 Scotland Premiership
Aberdeen Aberdeen
PREDICTION Aberdeen wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
ODD: @1.85
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Aberdeen x Kilmarnock Betting tips for December 14 in Scotland Premiership

Our betting tip for Aberdeen x Kilmarnock, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
15:00
Aberdeen Aberdeen
1.85
X
3.43
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
4.19

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aberdeen x Kilmarnock:

🔮 Aberdeen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aberdeen, you can win up to $925.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Aberdeen x Kilmarnock:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aberdeen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kilmarnock in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Kilmarnock, Aberdeen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Aberdeen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kilmarnock conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Aberdeen has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Kilmarnock.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Aberdeen x Kilmarnock?

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Analysis from Aberdeen x Kilmarnock for the Scotland Premiership – 14 of December

🏟️ Aberdeen X Kilmarnock – Scotland Premiership
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Aberdeen – Winning probability: 66.95% | Fair line: 1.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.67% | Fair line: 4.84
🔴 Kilmarnock – Winning probability: 12.38% | Fair line: 8.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aberdeen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aberdeen x Kilmarnock is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aberdeen x Kilmarnock

Is betting on Aberdeen worth it?

🔵 Aberdeen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $569.50;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$239.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $510.30;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$279.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kilmarnock?

🔴 Kilmarnock: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $382.80;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$497.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aberdeen x Kilmarnock

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aberdeen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aberdeen x Kilmarnock

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Aberdeen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Aberdeen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Aberdeen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aberdeen x Kilmarnock

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves