Triestina x Albinoleffe Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Triestina x Albinoleffe, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 16:30

Triestina 2.11

X 2.97

Albinoleffe 3.36

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Triestina x Albinoleffe:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Triestina x Albinoleffe

Important information for your tip for Triestina x Albinoleffe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Triestina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Albinoleffe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Triestina conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Triestina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Albinoleffe.

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Analysis from Triestina x Albinoleffe for the Italy Serie C Group A – 14 of December

When the best bet on Triestina x Albinoleffe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Triestina x Albinoleffe

Is it a good idea to bet on Triestina?

🔵 Triestina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $466.20;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$113.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $650.10;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$19.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Albinoleffe?

🔴 Albinoleffe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $566.40
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Triestina x Albinoleffe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Triestina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Triestina x Albinoleffe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Triestina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Triestina.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Triestina x Albinoleffe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.