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Home » Predictions » Others » Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 21h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
PREDICTION No tip
LDU Quito LDU Quito
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Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
21:30
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
4.80
X
3.82
LDU Quito LDU Quito
1.57

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

The main points for the tip for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Libertad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against LDU Quito.
👉 Even as a visitor, LDU Quito won the last 3 head-to-head matches Club Atletico Libertad´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of December

🏟️ Club Atletico Libertad X LDU Quito – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Club Atletico Libertad – Winning probability: 15.99% | Fair line: 6.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.86% | Fair line: 4.19
🔴 LDU Quito – Winning probability: 60.15% | Fair line: 1.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Atletico Libertad and LDU Quito.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452605 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

Is it worth betting on Club Atletico Libertad?

🔵 Club Atletico Libertad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $676.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$83.20.

Is it worth betting on LDU Quito?

🔴 LDU Quito: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $342.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$58.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves