Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 21:30

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 2.30

X 3.10

Independiente del Valle 2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle

Some important points for the tip for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente del Valle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $94.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Independiente del Valle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Independiente del Valle matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Independiente del Valle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Independiente del Valle.
👉 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

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Analysis from Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452002 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle

Is betting on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador worth it?

🔵 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $494.00;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$126.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it worth betting on Independiente del Valle?

🔴 Independiente del Valle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $612.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Catolica del Ecuador x Independiente del Valle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.