Sestao River x Gernika Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 14/12/2025 16:30 |
 Sestao River1.50 |
X 3.50 |
Gernika  6.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sestao River x Gernika:
🔮 Sestao River wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sestao River, you can win up to $750.00!
The main points for the tip for Sestao River x Gernika:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sestao River in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gernika in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sestao River scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Gernika, Sestao River scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Sestao River matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gernika conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Sestao River has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Gernika.
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Analysis from Sestao River x Gernika for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 14 of December
🏟️ Sestao River X Gernika – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Sestao River – Winning probability: 79.16% | Fair line: 1.26
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.66% | Fair line: 5.66
🔴 Gernika – Winning probability: 3.18% | Fair line: 31.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sestao River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sestao River and Gernika.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sestao River x Gernika
Is betting on Sestao River worth it?
🔵 Sestao River: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 790 times – profiting $395.00;
- And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$370.00.
Should you bet on Gernika?
🔴 Gernika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$805.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sestao River x Gernika
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sestao River
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sestao River x Gernika
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Sestao River, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Sestao River.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Sestao River.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sestao River x Gernika
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
