North District x Kitchee Betting tips for December 13 in Hong Kong Premier League
| 📅 13/12/2025 07:00 |
 North District4.00 |
X 3.80 |
Kitchee  1.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for North District x Kitchee:
🔮 Kitchee wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kitchee, you can win up to $850.00!
Important information for your tip for North District x Kitchee:
👉 If you had bet $100 on North District in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-157.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kitchee in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $218.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, North District scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Kitchee scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Kitchee, North District scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, North District conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, North District conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Kitchee.
👉 In the last 9 road matches, Kitchee has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from North District x Kitchee for the Hong Kong Premier League – 13 of December
🏟️ North District X Kitchee – Hong Kong Premier League
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 07:00
🔵 North District – Winning probability: 15.32% | Fair line: 6.53
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.02% | Fair line: 6.66
🔴 Kitchee – Winning probability: 69.65% | Fair line: 1.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 North District
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between North District and Kitchee.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452259 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for North District x Kitchee
Is it a good idea to bet on North District?
🔵 North District: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $450.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Kitchee?
🔴 Kitchee: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $490.00;
- And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$190.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match North District x Kitchee
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 North District
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for North District x Kitchee
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 North District, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 North District.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Kitchee.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for North District x Kitchee
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
