Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi Betting tips for December 13 in Ethiopia Cup
| 📅 13/12/2025 07:00 |
 Akaki Kality7.40 |
X 4.18 |
Negelle Arsi 1.35 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi:
🔮 Negelle Arsi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Negelle Arsi, you can win up to $675.00!
The main points for the tip for Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Akaki Kality in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Negelle Arsi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $92.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Negelle Arsi scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Akaki Kality conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Negelle Arsi has not lost any of them.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi for the Ethiopia Cup – 13 of December
🏟️ Akaki Kality X Negelle Arsi – Ethiopia Cup
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 07:00
🔵 Akaki Kality – Winning probability: 2.69% | Fair line: 37.12
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.98% | Fair line: 25.13
🔴 Negelle Arsi – Winning probability: 93.33% | Fair line: 1.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Akaki Kality
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Akaki Kality and Negelle Arsi.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452259 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi
Is betting on Akaki Kality worth it?
🔵 Akaki Kality: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $192.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$778.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $127.20;
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$832.80.
Is betting on Negelle Arsi worth it?
🔴 Negelle Arsi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $325.50;
- And would lose other 70 times – losing -$70.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$255.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Akaki Kality
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Akaki Kality, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Akaki Kality.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Negelle Arsi.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Akaki Kality x Negelle Arsi
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
