Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W) Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Primera Federacion Women
| π
13/12/2025 17:00 |
 Valencia (W)2.88 |
X 3.10 |
CD Alaves (W)  2.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W):
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W)
Important information for your tip for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W):
π If you had bet $100 on Valencia (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-187.0.
π If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
π CD Alaves (W) did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as away team.
π In the last 4 matches as the home team, Valencia (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 8 road matches, CD Alaves (W) has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W) for the Spain Primera Federacion Women – 13 of December
ποΈ Valencia (W) X CD Alaves (W) – Spain Primera Federacion Women
π
13 of December, 2025 – 17:00
π΅ Valencia (W) – Winning probability: 23.22% | Fair line: 4.31
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.39% | Fair line: 3.29
π΄ CD Alaves (W) – Winning probability: 46.39% | Fair line: 2.16
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Valencia (W)
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W) right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W)
Is it worth betting on Valencia (W)?
π΅ Valencia (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $432.40;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$337.60.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$70.00.
Is it worth betting on CD Alaves (W)?
π΄ CD Alaves (W): our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $598.00;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$58.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W)
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Valencia (W)
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W)
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Valencia (W) and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Valencia (W).
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Alaves (W).
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia (W) x CD Alaves (W)
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
