Varea x Haro Deportivo Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 16
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 Varea1.53 |
X 3.80 |
Haro Deportivo  5.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Varea x Haro Deportivo:
🔮 Varea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Varea, you can win up to $765.00!
The main points for the tip for Varea x Haro Deportivo:
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Varea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Haro Deportivo, Varea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Varea has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Haro Deportivo.
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Analysis from Varea x Haro Deportivo for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 14 of December
🏟️ Varea X Haro Deportivo – Spain Tercera Group 16
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Varea – Winning probability: 74.02% | Fair line: 1.35
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.37% | Fair line: 5.76
🔴 Haro Deportivo – Winning probability: 8.61% | Fair line: 11.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Varea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Varea and Haro Deportivo.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Varea x Haro Deportivo
Is it worth betting on Varea?
🔵 Varea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $392.20
- And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$132.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$354.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Haro Deportivo?
🔴 Haro Deportivo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Varea x Haro Deportivo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Varea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varea x Haro Deportivo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Varea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Varea.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Haro Deportivo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varea x Haro Deportivo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
