Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 2
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 Aviles Stadium CF5.50 |
X 3.90 |
Sporting Gijon B  1.48 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B:
🔮 Sporting Gijon B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting Gijon B, you can win up to $740.00!
Important information for your tip for Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aviles Stadium CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Gijon B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 Aviles Stadium CF did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 Aviles Stadium CF matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B, with Aviles Stadium CF as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Aviles Stadium CF conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sporting Gijon B.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sporting Gijon B has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 14 of December
🏟️ Aviles Stadium CF X Sporting Gijon B – Spain Tercera Group 2
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Aviles Stadium CF – Winning probability: 5.43% | Fair line: 18.42
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.86% | Fair line: 5.93
🔴 Sporting Gijon B – Winning probability: 77.71% | Fair line: 1.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Aviles Stadium CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B
Is it worth betting on Aviles Stadium CF?
🔵 Aviles Stadium CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$725.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $493.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.00.
Is betting on Sporting Gijon B worth it?
🔴 Sporting Gijon B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 780 times – profiting $374.40;
- And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$154.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Aviles Stadium CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Aviles Stadium CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Aviles Stadium CF.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Sporting Gijon B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aviles Stadium CF x Sporting Gijon B
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
