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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Escobedo x Tropezon Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
Escobedo Escobedo
PREDICTION No tip
Tropezon Tropezon
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Escobedo x Tropezon Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for Escobedo x Tropezon, Sunday, 14/12/2025
πŸ“… 14/12/2025
11:00
Escobedo Escobedo
2.30
X
3.05
Tropezon Tropezon
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Escobedo x Tropezon:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Escobedo x Tropezon

Important information for your tip for Escobedo x Tropezon:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Escobedo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Tropezon scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Escobedo x Tropezon, with Escobedo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Escobedo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Escobedo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Tropezon has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Escobedo x Tropezon for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 14 of December

🏟️ Escobedo X Tropezon – Spain Tercera Group 3
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Escobedo – Winning probability: 34.53% | Fair line: 2.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.44% | Fair line: 3.08
πŸ”΄ Tropezon – Winning probability: 33.03% | Fair line: 3.03
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Escobedo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Escobedo x Tropezon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Escobedo x Tropezon

Is betting on Escobedo worth it?

πŸ”΅ Escobedo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $455.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $656.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$24.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Tropezon?

πŸ”΄ Tropezon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $627.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$43.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Escobedo x Tropezon

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Escobedo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Escobedo x Tropezon

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Escobedo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Escobedo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Tropezon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Escobedo x Tropezon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves