Lenense x Mosconia Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 2
| π
14/12/2025 11:30 |
Lenense3.91 |
X 3.40 |
Mosconia ![]() 1.78 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lenense x Mosconia:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Lenense x Mosconia
The main points for the tip for Lenense x Mosconia:
π If you had bet $100 on Lenense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
π If you had bet $100 on Mosconia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
π In the last 4 matches as the home team against Mosconia, Lenense scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lenense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mosconia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π It is not a good time for Mosconia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lenense x Mosconia?
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Analysis from Lenense x Mosconia for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 14 of December
ποΈ Lenense X Mosconia – Spain Tercera Group 2
π
14 of December, 2025 – 11:30
π΅ Lenense – Winning probability: 12.46% | Fair line: 8.03
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.83% | Fair line: 3.59
π΄ Mosconia – Winning probability: 59.71% | Fair line: 1.67
β Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Lenense
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lenense and Mosconia.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lenense x Mosconia
Is it a good idea to bet on Lenense?
π΅ Lenense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $349.20;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$530.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$48.00.
Is it worth betting on Mosconia?
π΄ Mosconia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$68.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lenense x Mosconia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Lenense
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lenense x Mosconia
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Lenense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Lenense.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lenense x Mosconia
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Lenense