UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 12
| 📅 14/12/2025 12:00 |
 UD Telde10.55 |
X 4.65 |
CD Atletico Paso  1.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso:
🔮 CD Atletico Paso wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Atletico Paso, you can win up to $625.00!
The main points for the tip for UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso:
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Telde in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UD Telde conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 14 of December
🏟️ UD Telde X CD Atletico Paso – Spain Tercera Group 12
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 UD Telde – Winning probability: 1.19% | Fair line: 84.05
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.39% | Fair line: 18.55
🔴 CD Atletico Paso – Winning probability: 93.42% | Fair line: 1.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 UD Telde
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso
Is it worth betting on UD Telde?
🔵 UD Telde: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $95.50;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$894.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $182.50;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$767.50.
Is betting on CD Atletico Paso worth it?
🔴 CD Atletico Paso: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 930 times – this would give you a profit of $232.50
- And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 UD Telde
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 UD Telde and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 UD Telde.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 UD Telde.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Telde x CD Atletico Paso
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
